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Scal, while it's difficult to make predictions about the primary vote, I think you're correct to predict fewer than 7,000 votes for the make-believe mayor. My guess would actually be far fewer than that -- here's why:

In the last off-Presidential election year Democratic primary in Warwick in 2014, the Democratic primary was decided among 7,000 votes while the Republican primary had 5,000.

Now, neither of the Democratic candidates spent a lot of money or had the visibility or organization to support a get out the vote effort of someone like Joe Solomon. Also, this year there is no Republican primary for mayor.

As a result, it would be fair to estimate that the Democratic primary for mayor could draw close to 15,000 votes.

Solomon and Carbone are 1-2 in campaign money, which means they can advertise and organize effectively and run GOTV operations -- though Solomon is far ahead of Carbone.

So, of those estimated 15,000 votes, I'd expect Solomon to get somewhere close to 8,200, with Carbone getting 3,200, and the make-believe mayor finishing a distant third with 2,500, ahead of only Ferla.

And all of that is aside from the long list of defects in his candidacy that the make-believe mayor has repeatedly and willingly proven, all by himself, through his disgraceful campaign behavior on this website.

Like you, I look forward to joining thousands of honest, taxpaying voters in rejecting his candidacy again on Sept. 12.

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